Too Big To Fail
Tuesday, 24. March 2009 18:50
It’s all over the news. Our economic problems have been diagnosed as “bigness”. Jeremiah is right.
AIG is so big, so interconnected with every other bank, a failure would take down most of the banking system. The only thing to do is throw money at them or risk a great depression.
There is a market failure connected with “bigness”. A firm as large as GM or AIG will discount risk far more than another firm in the industry. The logic is simple. Proposal “A” is risky but has potential for huge returns. Proposal “B” is less risky, provides modest returns, and is essentially what everyone else is doing. If you’re a huge firm what are you going to do? Proposal “A”, of course, because if it fails you know Uncle Sam will rescue you. And if he doesn’t you’ll threaten to take the entire economy down with you…and the funny thing is you actually can.
The question yesterday on NPR Money was “what can we do to stop this from happening again?” The stock answers are always these: More regulation or More free market. My answer is neither and both. We must have a system that prohibits firms from growing into monstrosities “too big to fail” but this is best done via increased competition through lower costs of entry, equal playing fields, and the removal of legal privilege (cartels, patents, property rights in land, airwaves, cab medallions, etc). More competition means more creative destruction, lower profit margins, increased productivity, smaller firms, and more wealth creation. You can bet a company as large as AIG or GM did not get to be that large without special privileges.
These mechanisms used to increase competition may require more regulation, such as what is needed to diminish property right monopolies, or may require freer markets, such as what is needed to lower costs of entry and diminish patent and cartel privileges. Neither one alone but both in proper measure.
End Soapbox.
Category:Economics | Comments (8) | Author: Trevor